The Beginning Of The End For Yayi’s Guber Ambition in Ogun State

In Nigerian politics, ambition is rarely subtle. But for Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, popularly known as Yayi, ambition has often taken the shape of open declarations, grand gestures, and controversial maneuverings.

Once regarded as one of the strongest aspirants for Ogun State’s 2027 governorship race, recent developments suggest that his long-nurtured dream may be unraveling before it can fully take root.

Yayi, the sitting senator representing Ogun West Senatorial District and current Chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, is no stranger to high-stakes political games.

A powerful figure in the National Assembly with a long political résumé that spans two decades—from the Lagos State House of Assembly to the House of Representatives and the Senate—he made a high-profile switch to Ogun politics in 2015 with eyes firmly set on the governorship seat.

However, his foray into Ogun’s political terrain has been anything but smooth. In both 2015 and 2019, he was blocked from contesting by political power blocs, notably during the administration of former Governor Ibikunle Amosun.

He later aligned with Governor Dapo Abiodun, contributing to the latter’s re-election effort in 2023, a move Yayi often credits himself for. Since then, he has taken his ambition public, with bold declarations and extensive mobilization, often to the discomfort of the ruling establishment in the state.

This year’s Lisabi Festival, a cherished cultural event among the Egba people, became a political litmus test for Yayi.

The senator, who had become increasingly assertive in Egba socio-political circles, was reportedly denied access to the festival venue, a symbolic rebuke by the organizers.

Sources close to the event confirmed that the move was deliberate, aimed at preventing the senator from dominating the program and turning it into a political showcase.

Yayi’s exclusion was widely interpreted as a subtle but powerful rejection by the Egba political establishment. His perceived overreach, attempting to outshine the Governor at public events, planting loyalists in key federal appointments, and increasingly parading himself as an Egba indigene despite lingering controversies around his true ancestry, had begun to raise concerns.

The Lisabi incident laid bare a growing resistance to his methods and ambition. An after-party organized by his supporters was poorly attended, reinforcing the sense that the tide was shifting.

Barely weeks after the Lisabi snub, Yayi was at the center of yet another cultural-political showdown, this time in Ijebuland.

The influential Ojude Oba Festival, which held on June 8, had reportedly designated him as the “Chairman of the Day.” Preparations were underway, with banners, congratulatory messages, and event materials already in circulation.

But in a dramatic twist, Yayi was dropped just hours to the event.

Sources within the Awujale’s palace confirmed that the senator’s nomination did not receive the express approval of the paramount ruler, who had been away on a routine medical trip.

“The role of Chairman of the Day is not merely ceremonial,” said one palace source. “It carries symbolic weight, and there was concern that naming Yayi could be misconstrued as a political endorsement.”

Another source familiar with the planning committee’s inner workings disclosed that some stakeholders viewed Yayi’s nomination as inappropriate, arguing that it could politicize a traditionally apolitical event and send the wrong signal about Ijebuland’s stance in the 2027 gubernatorial race.

While Yayi’s camp insisted that his sidelining was orchestrated by political forces wary of his rising profile, the optics were unmistakable: he had now been publicly rebuffed in two of the state’s major cultural centers—Egbaland and Ijebuland.

Yayi’s political journey in Ogun has always carried the burden of legitimacy. Questions about his origin continue to trail his ambition. While he now represents Ogun West, many critics argue that his political roots remain deeply entrenched in Lagos, where he spent the majority of his career.

His shifting identity—from Isaga to Pahayi to Kemta—has done little to quiet those who see his ambition as more opportunistic than organic.

Furthermore, his political style—brash, unfiltered, and heavily money-driven, has drawn criticism even from within his party, the All Progressives Congress (APC).

His use of federal projects to expand his influence into Ogun Central and East has been labeled as “political trespassing” by some, while others view it as strategic positioning.

Still, observers argue that influence alone does not equate to acceptance. “Ogun people value authenticity, vision, and character,” said a political analyst in Abeokuta.

“Yayi has money and network, but those don’t always translate to political capital, especially when people feel you’re imposing yourself.”

With the 2027 gubernatorial election still two years away, it would be premature to completely count Yayi out.

He remains a political heavyweight with a formidable war chest and considerable national influence. However, the recent cultural rebuffs suggest that his acceptance across the state’s diverse political landscape is not guaranteed.

The critical question now is whether these rejections represent isolated incidents or a broader repudiation of his methods and ambitions. For a candidate who has long projected inevitability, the emerging resistance is a sobering reality.

As the political permutations for 2027 begin to crystallize, one thing is certain: the road to Oke-Mosan is not paved with wealth alone. For Yayi, the campaign ahead may be less about conquest and more about recalibration, if, indeed, it is not already too late.